{"id":325,"date":"2009-03-26T14:18:30","date_gmt":"2009-03-26T22:18:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.artesianmedia.com\/blog\/2009\/03\/extended-forecast-a-20-chance-of-riots-in-the-streets-calacanis-keynote-at-omma-2009\/"},"modified":"2009-03-26T14:18:39","modified_gmt":"2009-03-26T22:18:39","slug":"extended-forecast-a-20-chance-of-riots-in-the-streets-calacanis-keynote-at-omma-2009","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.artesianmedia.com\/blog\/extended-forecast-a-20-chance-of-riots-in-the-streets-calacanis-keynote-at-omma-2009\/","title":{"rendered":"Extended Forecast: A 20% Chance of Riots in the Streets &#8211; Calacanis keynote at OMMA 2009"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span>Calacanis referred to this as &#8220;The Bridge.&#8221; He starts off with a little more digital triumphalism, and then talks about the real numbers behind the economic downturn, and the 20% chance of civil unrest, riots in the streets, cats&amp;dogs living together, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.x-entertainment.com\/articles\/0954\/\">the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man<\/a>, etc. etc. <\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s quite canny of him to stick a mood-changer like this in the middle of his presentation. A relentless parade of stats (allegedly) proving that digital media will win out over all outmoded forms of communication, and we will join hands and walk into the sunrise of a brave new day &#8230; would be sickening. So he threw this in here to address the <a href=\"http:\/\/ittybiz.com\/home-business-economics-in-troubled-times\/\">fears of economic meltdown<\/a> that were at the core of this conference (after all, the title was &#8220;Tools for Tackling the Downturn&#8221;). <\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"youtube-video\"><object height=\"364\" width=\"445\"><param name=\"movie\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/X5nJiM6iAYQ&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1&amp;color1=0x2b405b&amp;color2=0x6b8ab6&amp;border=1\"><\/param><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\"><\/param><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\"><\/param><embed src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/X5nJiM6iAYQ&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1&amp;color1=0x2b405b&amp;color2=0x6b8ab6&amp;border=1\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" height=\"364\" width=\"445\"><\/embed><\/object><\/div>\n<p>In the early going, he can&#8217;t resist taking yet another swipe at &#8220;Old Media&#8221; saying that the audience cannot be measured &#8211; or that it can, but that the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nielsen-online.com\/\">Nielsen stats<\/a> are &#8220;bullshit.&#8221;&nbsp; Which there is a certain logic to &#8211; advertisers who buy display ads are charged as though every single reader of the newspaper is going to open to that page and look at the ad.&nbsp; Of course, we all know that they are not &#8211; that the ad rates are actually based on the &#8220;potential audience.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>And what Jason doesn&#8217;t really go into here is that there are some very sophisticated media analysts grinding numbers and coming up with some alternatives to the &#8220;Search Is God&#8221; theory he&#8217;s plugging. <\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ll post the video of that later &#8211; if I don&#8217;t decide to turn it into a larger story for a magazine or website &#8211; but basically, media buyers\/planners are starting to get hip to the fact that search swoops in at the last second in the decision-making process of consumers, and takes all the credit for their buying choice.&nbsp; Meanwhile, if they had never known that there were, say, alternate iPhone headphones that actually sound good and don&#8217;t fall out of your ears &#8211; then they would not have been able to search for it. <\/p>\n<p>My own prediction: in the next couple of years, we&#8217;re going to see content make a comeback. <\/p>\n<p>That is, if the second part of Jason&#8217;s bit here doesn&#8217;t come to pass, and we&#8217;re all either fricasseed by angry mobs, or hiding out in the hills, living like the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Road-Warrior-Captain-Action-Figure\/dp\/B000M736EI\">Gyro-Captain in &#8220;Road Warrior.&#8221; <\/a><\/p>\n<p>Technorati Tags: <a class=\"performancingtags\" href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tag\/Jason%20Calacanis\" rel=\"tag\">Jason Calacanis<\/a>, <a class=\"performancingtags\" href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tag\/OMMA%202009\" rel=\"tag\">OMMA 2009<\/a>, <a class=\"performancingtags\" href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tag\/video\" rel=\"tag\">video<\/a>, <a class=\"performancingtags\" href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tag\/keynote\" rel=\"tag\">keynote<\/a>, <a class=\"performancingtags\" href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tag\/ad\" rel=\"tag\">ad<\/a>, <a class=\"performancingtags\" href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tag\/advertising\" rel=\"tag\">advertising<\/a>, <a class=\"performancingtags\" href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tag\/Facebook\" rel=\"tag\">Facebook<\/a>, <a class=\"performancingtags\" href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tag\/social%20media\" rel=\"tag\">social media<\/a>, <a class=\"performancingtags\" href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tag\/Twitter\" rel=\"tag\">Twitter<\/a>, <a class=\"performancingtags\" href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tag\/riots\" rel=\"tag\">riots<\/a>, <a class=\"performancingtags\" href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tag\/civil%20unrest\" rel=\"tag\">civil unrest<\/a>, <a class=\"performancingtags\" href=\"http:\/\/technorati.com\/tag\/depression\" rel=\"tag\">depression<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"zemanta-pixie\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"zemanta-pixie-img lazyload\" data-src=\"http:\/\/img.zemanta.com\/pixy.gif?x-id=0cda8cd6-9110-8a2b-affc-ebaed7bb778f\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Calacanis referred to this as &#8220;The Bridge.&#8221; He starts off with a little more digital triumphalism, and then talks about the real numbers behind the economic downturn, and the 20% chance of civil unrest, riots in the streets, cats&amp;dogs living together, the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man, etc. etc. It&#8217;s quite canny of him to stick a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","wds_primary_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,47,25,12],"tags":[11,858,853,55],"class_list":["post-325","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-digital-migration","category-new-marketing","category-new-media","category-online-video","tag-multimedia","tag-new-media","tag-online-video","tag-webconomics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.artesianmedia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/325","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.artesianmedia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.artesianmedia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.artesianmedia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.artesianmedia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=325"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.artesianmedia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/325\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.artesianmedia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=325"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.artesianmedia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=325"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.artesianmedia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=325"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}